Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

sUSD / USDC

GCHW…JYIH

Risk band

Medium

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 9,370.87 USDC (shortened; full value 9370.8757955613615554346277005085151625592796561376155 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%: buy165,608.12 USDC (shortened; full value 165608.1277723527175724816204011521 USDC)sell18,277.15 USDC (shortened; full value 18277.152265609005069272228507645093641671793476736065 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 165,596.05 USDC (shortened; full value 165596.05386540476905463401888 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 142,581.28 USDC (shortened; full value 142581.2844340883879644522702854249 USDC)
Highest: 183,447.50 USDC (shortened; full value 183447.5047222174267023617019054352 USDC)

2026-09-26T16:51:36Z — 2026-10-03T16:09:17ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 165,601.07 USDC (shortened; full value 165601.0750106583352901474385814457 USDC)
5% from mid: 165,608.12 USDC (shortened; full value 165608.1293736514202454849374505573 USDC)
10% from mid: 165,619.66 USDC (shortened; full value 165619.6663089847834936129321787829 USDC)

169 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 165,596.05 USDC (shortened; full value 165596.05386540476905463401888 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0.49 USDC (shortened; full value 0.4988851 USDC)
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: 331,932.2502 (shortened; full value 331932.2502624447373846884159899744)
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 165,596.55 USDC (shortened; full value 165596.55275050476905463401888 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh