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keel
Ledger
64,750,867
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
6s

eBTC against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

eBTC / USDC

GCEA…EBTC

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
0 USDCLimited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy39.69 USDC (shortened; full value 39.6974813289573562658280683066 USDC)sell40.45 USDC (shortened; full value 40.459107039142010659430106372028274418408432657717 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
0 USDCReachable at no cost: nothing stands in the way
Checks
5 triggered5 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Buy-side depth

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
15.94 USDC (shortened; full value 15.9473447932792390523304236326 USDC)
Highest
80.97 USDC (shortened; full value 80.9738879899526032677235552738 USDC)
2026-09-26T15:50:51Z — 2026-10-03T14:53:32ZOne scale across every line on this chart
2% from mid
15.99 USDC (shortened; full value 15.9954775496176646291567705666 USDC)
5% from mid
39.69 USDC (shortened; full value 39.6974813289573562658280683066 USDC)
10% from mid
78.46 USDC (shortened; full value 78.4605114057228156828887728162 USDC)
168 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAPthroughout
Cheap next to real tradingnowMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOWthroughout
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREMEthroughout
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout
No genuine trade in 30 daysNO_GENUINE_TRADE_30D81 of 168
No genuine trade in 7 daysNO_GENUINE_TRADE_7D81 of 168

Not evaluated5

  • Price sources disagree
  • Extreme spread
  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
0 USDC

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
0 USDC

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh