Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

USTRY / USDC

GCRY…MYWC

Risk band

High

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 68,698.27 USDC (shortened; full value 68698.278402670202941749913505 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy274,694.65 USDC (shortened; full value 274694.6590498396350827040113810297 USDC)sell276,023.45 USDC (shortened; full value 276023.450957005709948434301788334815850164561804507199 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 274,793.11 USDC (shortened; full value 274793.11361068081176699965402 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 257,287.48 USDC (shortened; full value 257287.4891053876304962751648255856 USDC)
Highest: 277,157.45 USDC (shortened; full value 277157.4572815117278834716722252868 USDC)

2026-09-12T23:57:46Z — 2026-10-02T23:09:27ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 259,164.11 USDC (shortened; full value 259164.1190647675815592669541504317 USDC)
5% from mid: 259,276.79 USDC (shortened; full value 259276.7973194135808965114879490643 USDC)
10% from mid: 259,376.06 USDC (shortened; full value 259376.0660753747864381436638016542 USDC)

21 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 274,793.11 USDC (shortened; full value 274793.11361068081176699965402 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 274,793.11 USDC (shortened; full value 274793.11361068081176699965402 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh