Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

IDRT / USDC

GDPK…VBVT

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 161.81 USDC (shortened; full value 161.8176398250011 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%: buy197.25 USDC (shortened; full value 197.254671295065322085603747063 USDC)sell192.90 USDC (shortened; full value 192.905180396022521151247354724372886777920477085344 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 647.27 USDC (shortened; full value 647.2705593000044 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 78.96 USDC (shortened; full value 78.968077494910623961743755858 USDC)
Highest: 419.17 USDC (shortened; full value 419.176988333870279167187357785 USDC)

2026-09-26T23:51:06Z — 2026-10-03T15:53:52ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 82.15 USDC (shortened; full value 82.1586787600861367502028510688 USDC)
5% from mid: 197.25 USDC (shortened; full value 197.254671295065322085603747063 USDC)
10% from mid: 385.48 USDC (shortened; full value 385.4864116105190202756806528914 USDC)

8 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 647.27 USDC (shortened; full value 647.2705593000044 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 647.27 USDC (shortened; full value 647.2705593000044 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh