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keel
Ledger
64,751,769
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
6s

GROG against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

GROG / USDC

GBE2…TECL

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
45.76 USDC (shortened; full value 45.760213908361170146264765899688080169648893392781 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%
buy0 USDCsell64.20 USDC (shortened; full value 64.202356096384160283867078079636016135833886165673 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
6 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Cost to move the price 50%

The stored series carries one manipulation rung, the +50% move. A reading the engine could not produce breaks the line rather than sitting at zero.

Unchanged across the window

Lowest
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)
Highest
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)
2026-10-02T16:53:47Z — 2026-10-03T16:08:47Z
Cost to move +50%
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)
25 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Nothing tradable within 2%nowZERO_DEPTH_2PCTthroughout
Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAPthroughout
Extreme spreadnowSPREAD_EXTREMEthroughout
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREMEthroughout
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
229.14 USDC (shortened; full value 229.1403381 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh