Keel — Stellar liquidity risk

Cleanshave / USDC

GCTZ…AISG

Risk band

Critical

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral: 46.25 USDC (shortened; full value 46.259713601339668853788368082783826806636962808822 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%: buy233.57 USDC (shortened; full value 233.5744850630937674298848398409 USDC)sell40.66 USDC (shortened; full value 40.668891472767525349865934694189466785618398624042 USDC)
Cost to move +50%: 270.50 USDC (shortened; full value 270.506162824043550867 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks: 4 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window

Resolution

Source

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest: 2.08 USDC (shortened; full value 2.0871225701637399641262994871 USDC)
Highest: 277.29 USDC (shortened; full value 277.2910534161720346535637858774 USDC)

2026-09-25T23:58:34Z — 2026-10-03T16:23:32ZOne scale across every line on this chart

2% from mid: 2.08 USDC (shortened; full value 2.0871225701637399641262994871 USDC)
5% from mid: 233.57 USDC (shortened; full value 233.5744850630937674298848398409 USDC)
10% from mid: 277.22 USDC (shortened; full value 277.2292561720509636146199940415 USDC)

9 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.

Cheap to move the pricenowMANIPULATION_CHEAP

throughout

One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREME

throughout

Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCT

throughout

Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH

throughout

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only: 270.50 USDC (shortened; full value 270.506162824043550867 USDC)
The target is reachable through the order book
Genuine volume in the oracle window: 0 USDC
Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter
Cost against genuine volume: not computed
Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable
Total attack cost: 270.50 USDC (shortened; full value 270.506162824043550867 USDC)
The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh