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keel
Ledger
64,752,485
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
8s

BTC against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

BTC / USDC

GDPJ…2MZM

Risk band

High

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
1,383.48 USDC (shortened; full value 1383.484887169794235976099867115528556855378007379609 USDC)Limited by liquidation depth
Depth within 5%
buy1,575.51 USDC (shortened; full value 1575.5132973759287031423747353178 USDC)sell1,575.12 USDC (shortened; full value 1575.120845287194300050954708611241362483573736384469 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
25,056.98 USDC (shortened; full value 25056.98209878813348340829474 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
3 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Collateral ceiling

The most this asset could back at each reading: the lower of the liquidation and manipulation limits.

Higher at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
1,248.54 USDC (shortened; full value 1248.54964557311225005950566239237324749725506138301 USDC)
Highest
1,591.43 USDC (shortened; full value 1591.430347873374323169835297840573219944439265925342 USDC)
2026-10-02T17:53:32Z — 2026-10-03T17:08:27Z
Max safe collateral
1,388.39 USDC (shortened; full value 1388.3982730510385119836275639580514750244577269670795 USDC)
25 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
One holder owns most of itnowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_EXTREMEthroughout
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGHthroughout

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
25,056.98 USDC (shortened; full value 25056.98209878813348340829474 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
25,056.98 USDC (shortened; full value 25056.98209878813348340829474 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh