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keel
Ledger
64,752,845
Methodology
1.0.8-draft
Age
5s

AQUA against USDC — what depth stands behind this price?

All assets

AQUA / USDC

GBNZ…AQUA

Risk band

Medium

partial confidence

A floor: the real band can only be worse.

Max safe collateral
8,090.15 USDC (shortened; full value 8090.15675794997901203997818 USDC)Limited by manipulation cost
Depth within 5%
buy28,701.95 USDC (shortened; full value 28701.9570790676640435806469207015 USDC)sell23,516.24 USDC (shortened; full value 23516.248621878615174058088181760798385708607470355572 USDC)
Cost to move +50%
32,360.62 USDC (shortened; full value 32360.62703179991604815991272 USDC)Reachable through the order book
Checks
2 triggered3 not evaluated

History

Window
Resolution
Source

Buy-side depth

What an order can absorb before the price moves against a buyer. The rungs are nested, so one scale covers all three.

Lower at the end of the window than at its start

Lowest
183.95 USDC (shortened; full value 183.9558018657440859565064892124 USDC)
Highest
29,460.81 USDC (shortened; full value 29460.8156377896450434622199980503 USDC)
2026-09-11T23:47:49Z — 2026-10-02T10:38:27ZOne scale across every line on this chart
2% from mid
1,288.70 USDC (shortened; full value 1288.7087420141294740473364146981 USDC)
5% from mid
5,173.87 USDC (shortened; full value 5173.8711072735646787763699343568 USDC)
10% from mid
15,944.76 USDC (shortened; full value 15944.7627194620343080468064624801 USDC)
22 readings from horizon, with no gaps reported. One source per chart.

Checks

What fires now, how long it has been firing across the window above, and what could not run.
Thin depth at 5%nowTHIN_DEPTH_5PCTthroughout
Supply is concentratednowHOLDER_CONCENTRATION_HIGH7 of 22
Cheap next to real tradingMANIPULATION_RATIO_LOW7 of 22

Not evaluated3

  • No genuine trade in 30 days
  • No genuine trade in 7 days
  • Volume may be wash traded

Evidence

The figures behind the verdict, as the engine served them.

An averaging oracle makes an attacker outweigh genuine trading as well as move the book. A market with no genuine volume has no such defence.

Cost of a 50% move, order book only
32,360.62 USDC (shortened; full value 32360.62703179991604815991272 USDC)

The target is reachable through the order book

Genuine volume in the oracle window
0 USDC

Over the last 900 seconds (15 minutes), after the genuine-trade filter

Cost against genuine volume
not computed

Below 1, moving the price is cheaper than all genuine trading across the window. Not computed when there was no genuine volume or the target is unreachable

Total attack cost
32,360.62 USDC (shortened; full value 32360.62703179991604815991272 USDC)

The move, plus the genuine volume an averaging oracle forces an attacker to outweigh